Out of Bounds edges Secret Circle in Sham Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

01/07/2012 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lightly regarded Out of Bounds caught the favorite Secret Circle at the wire to win Saturday's $100,000 Sham Stakes at Santa Anita Park. The early season stakes for three-year-olds begins Santa Anita's Kentucky Derby preps.

Setting the pace in the mile event was 14-1 longshot Longview Drive with the 1-2 favorite Secret Circle stalking the leader. Out of Bounds, ridden by Garrett Gomez, was sitting third or fourth in the five-horse field.

At the top of the stretch Secret Circle, the 2011 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint champ, had the lead as Out of Bounds gained ground from the outside, moving into second. Trained by Eoin Harty, Out of Bounds drove down the stretch to finally catch the favorite just before the finish.

Out of Bounds registered a half-length victory over the favorite with Longview Drive holding on to third. Getting fourth was Handsome Mike with 2-1 second choice Hierro in fifth. Senor Rain was scratched.

The time for the Sham Stakes was 1:34.56 on a fast track.

"He did everything really professional for a horse that's only run a couple of times," noted Gomez who has six stakes wins overall at the current Santa Anita meet. "I was excited by his last couple races. He's such a good-sized colt and I thought the two turns would really help him because he's such a long- striding horse. It's just a matter of getting him to understand how to do it the right way. I think he's got enough ability to do it. He showed us all today. He traveled really well, did things the right way, and finished up well."

Out of Bounds, owned by Darley Stable, won for the second time in three starts and picked up $60,000 with Saturday's win. His earnings now stand at $89,700.

"He's a very big horse, but he's a gentle giant," the winning trainer said. "He's come around mentally as well as physically, and sometimes it takes a while for both to catch up. Lucky this horse has the mental attributes as well as the physical attributes."

Out of Bounds returned $22.60, $5.80 and $4.40. Secret Circle paid $2.80 and $2.10, and Longview Drive paid $4.00 to show.

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."

While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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